Fresh off of a 12 and 4 record Week 2 I roll into Week 3 with an overall record of 22 and 10! The games this week were a tad bit harder to predict with big games such as Dallas at Seattle, Kansas City at Baltimore, Rams at Bills, and Raiders at Patriots. But I am extremely confident and ready to roll! So let’s get this started, here’s the Week 3 NFL Picks!
Dolphins (0-2) at Jaguars (1-1), 8:20 p.m. (NFLN)
In a Thursday night game I am destined to fall asleep in the first quarter in, I am contractually obligated to pick it. I am picking the Dolphins because I firmly believe the Jaguars are the worst team in the NFL. I am aware that Gardner Minshew is playing at a high level but it’s only a matter of time before reality hits him in the face and the lack of talent around him pokes its head. The improved Dolphins defense will make life rough for him and despite Ryan Shitzpatrick throwing his normal 2 interceptions, I expect the Dolphins to win a boring game.
Josh’s Pick: Dolphins 20-10
Bears (2-0) at Falcons (0-2), 1 p.m. (Fox)
To me, this screams trap game for the Bears. Coming off wins over Detroit and the Giants (both teams that are a combined 0-4) in comes an Atlanta team coming off an embarrassing collapse to the Dallas Cowboys last week. I have no idea why but I expect Atlanta to come in and play inspired and try to make us forget how bad they were last week. I’m sorry Tim King (AEE President and huge Bears fan) I’m just not sold on the Bears yet. I mean hopefully, they play a team that has won a game soon but they don’t make the schedule so I can’t blame them for that. I expect Julio Jones to have his best game this year and go for 159 yards and 2 touchdowns as Atlanta saves Dan Quinn’s job (he should have been fired after last week IMO) for at least one more week.
Josh’s Pick: Atlanta 27-17
Rams (2-0) at Bills (2-0), 1 p.m. (Fox)
From one team I’m not sold on to another. That team is the Buffalo Bills. I have heard for years that the Buffalo Bills are for real and at the end of the day, they always disappointed. Did anyone watch that awful playoff game between them and Houston last year? I’m not impressed they beat a bad Dolphins team and I’m more worried Ryan Shitpatrick lit up their defense for over 300 yards through the air. The Rams on the other hand have been impressive with a good mix of run and pass and Jared Goff looks as comfortable as he did the year they went to the Super Bowl. If Shitzpatrick can put up over 300 yards on Buffalo then so can Goff and I think he will. Robert Woods, fresh off his big contract extension, lights up his old team with 143 yards and 2 touchdowns. Josh Allen comes back down to earth and struggles.
Josh’s Pick: Rams 24-14
Washington (1-1) at Browns (1-1), 1 p.m. (Fox)
Well, this is a pick I’m not the most confident about but with Baker Mayfield coming off his best game to date and Dwyane Haskins coming off another game in which he struggled I guess I have to go with Baker. The Browns have the superior defense and more importantly, they have the best running back duo in the NFL. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt both go for over 100 and both score a touchdown as the Browns handle the Washington Football Team (that’s so weird to type). Haskins struggles again and Washington coach Ron Rivera will start debating whether he should put in Alex Smith (spoiler alert: he should).
Josh’s Pick: Browns 31-16
Titans (2-0) at Vikings (0-2), 1 p.m. (CBS)
Read what I wrote about the Chicago at Atlanta game and the same goes for how I feel about this one. A Tennessee team who barely defeated two teams most people have in the Tank for Trevor sweepstakes and a Vikings team who is coming off an embarrassing loss and a terrible performance by QB Kirk Cousins. I expect Kirk to bounce back this week and toss 3 touchdowns and over 250 yards. I also expect Dalvin Cook to have his best game of the year and gain around 100 and score a touchdown as well. I just don’t buy Ryan Tannehill. I don’t care what the stats say. You can’t make me either. Vikings get their first win of the season.
Josh’s Pick: Vikings 28-20
Raiders (2-0) at Patriots (1-1) , 1 p.m. (CBS)
Cam Newton coming off a great performance (albeit in a loss) and Derek Carr coming off a huge win over New Orleans on Monday night where he played very well. The only issue for Derek Carr is he’s facing a Patriots defense who for the first time got lit up by Russell Wilson and Seattle last week and I expect them to come out and make up for that this week. Like I said, you also have Cam looking great making great throws and getting all the weapons involved (Julian Edelman, N’Keal Harry, Damiere Byrd, Rex Burkhead). Hey, remember when Brady left because they had no weapons? Anyways, you should also have the return of James White who lost his father in a heartbreaking car accident just before last Sunday’s game. I’m calling this the James White game. I think the Patriots come out and play inspired football for James and White will have 100 total yards and 2 touchdowns. The Raiders undefeated streak ends at 2 despite over 100 yards and a touchdown from star RB Josh Jacobs. Cam plays well again as the Patriots rebound at home.
Josh’s Pick: Patriots 34-20
49ers (1-1) at Giants (0-2), 1 p.m. (Fox)
With most of the 49ers in the ER, you would think I would be worried about them heading into this week. They lost QB Jimmy G, DE’s Nick Bosa and Soloman Thomas, and RB’s Raheem Mostart and Tevin Coleman. I still have them taking care of the Giants with relative ease. Giants star RB Saquon Barkley tore his ACL last week and is out for the season. Barkley is the only great offensive player the Giants have. I think this is a low scoring game. There are reports that Jimmy G might be able to play but even so, he has literally no WR’s or RB’s left but I still trust their defense more than the Giants. What’s left of the 49ers pull this one out.
Josh’s Pick: 49ers 17-9
Bengals (0-2) at Eagles (0-2), 1 p.m. (CBS)
I came into this year with my hottest take being the Cincinnati Bengals will make the playoffs. As crazy as that is I still ain’t backing off of it. I feel very confident Joe Burrow gets his first NFL win this week. You have the Eagles who get injured when they sneeze, Carson Wentz looks like he’s regressing and you feel like Doug Pederson has lost all that magic he had their super bowl year. Then you have Joe Burrow who has looked nothing but impressive in his first two outings against two solid defenses ( Chargers and Browns). I feel you got two teams going in two different directions here. Burrow tops 300 yards once again and Joe Mixon finally gets it going and tops 100 yards. The questions about Wentz as the future QB and Pederson as the coach get louder after this home loss.
Josh’s Pick: Bengals 30-21
Texans (0-2) at Steelers (2-0) , 1 p.m. (CBS)
These are two teams in opposite directions. You have the Steelers who are looking better each week as Ben looks healthy for the first time in years. Then you have Houston who looks worse each week as you see Deshaun Watson running for his life each week. Combine that with the best Steelers defense that they have had in years with a struggling Texans offensive line and it’s all bad for the Texans. Watson is a great QB and I expect him to keep it close up to about halftime but he can’t do it all on his own. Ben throws for 350 with 3 touchdowns and emerging rookie WR Chase Claypool catches 2 of those touchdowns. Steelers pull away in the second half.
Josh’s Pick: Steelers 27-16
Jets (0-2) at Colts (1-1), 4:05 p.m. (CBS)
It’s the Jets. I mean if you have watched my shows and read my articles you know how I feel about them. They are equivalent to a JV high school team. Colts win. It’s the Jets, the only thing they do well is lose.
Josh’s Pick: Colts 27-10
Panthers (0-2) at Chargers (1-1), 4:05 p.m. (CBS)
This game is pretty cut and dry to me. So, let’s keep this short and sweet. Chargers QB Justin Herbert starts this game they win. If Tyrod Taylor comes back they will also win but it’ll be a close one. The loss of star RB Christian McCaffrey I think will cripple (no pun intended) the Panthers offense and make life harder on Teddy Bridgewater. I also expect Joey Bosa to have a huge game off the edge and get 2 or more sacks. My guess is Herbert gets the start and plays well again. 259 yards and 2 touchdowns later Herbert gets his first win as a pro! Congrats in advance.
Josh’s Pick: Chargers 24-14
Lions (0-2) at Cardinals (2-0), 4:25 p.m. (Fox)
Ladies and gentlemen Kyler Murray and the Arizona Cardinals are for real! The connection between Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins has been fantastic and Murray has also been unstoppable as a runner. In comes in the Detroit who looks like they could go 0-16 again. Matt Patricia is a lame-duck coach who’s team looks like they’ve given up on him. I expect Kyler to come in throw for 300 yards and rush for over 100. I also expect 3 touchdowns passing with 2 going to the best WR in football DeAndre Hopkins and I expect Muray to add another rushing. The Cardinals beat Detroit so bad Matt Patricia might not have a job come next week.
Josh’s Pick: Arizona 31-13
Buccaneers (1-1) at Broncos (0-2), 4:25 p.m. (Fox)
After seeing QB Drew Lock and number one receiver Courtland Sutton go down last week you would think this game would be a walk in the park for Tom Brady and the Buccaneers right? Brady has a below .500 record against just one team and it’s the Denver Broncos. He is 8-9 against them overall and 1-3 against them in the postseason. He also struggles playing at Mile High Stadium. Combine that with a Tampa offense still trying to gain chemistry and you have the makings of a potential upset. But, in the end, a Tom Brady touchdown pass to Scotty Miller puts Tampa ahead late in the 4th as Tampa survives and Brady evens his record against the Broncos. Gronk has his best game as a Buc to date with almost 100 yards receiving.
Josh’s Pick: Tampa Bay 26-17
Cowboys (1-1) at Seahawks (2-0), 4:25 p.m. (Fox)
Coming off of an incredible come from behind win against Atlanta last week can the Cowboys go to Seattle and upset the red hot Seahawks? Well, unfortunately for my dad and mom who are huge Dallas fans, I don’t see it happenings. Russell Wilson is playing out of his mind. The guy isn’t even throwing incompletions! As you saw on the DeBord Room this past Tuesday I tell you Russ is the best QB in the game right now and I expect him to continue to roll this week against a depleted Dallas defense. Russ throws for over 300 yards and 4 touchdowns once again.
Josh’s Pick: Seattle 37-28
Packers (2-0) at Saints (1-1), 8:20 p.m. (NBC)
In a preview of what some people think could be the NFC Championship Game we get Drew Brees vs Aaron Rodgers in a Sunday night showdown. Two high powered offenses and two underrated defenses. The key factor in this one is New Orleans is missing Star WR Michael Thomas and Green Bay could be without WR Davante Adams after a hamstring pull last week. But in my prediction, those don’t change my train of thought. The Saints are at home, it’s a Sunday night prime time game, and regardless if there are 3 fans in the crowd or 10,000 I expect the Saints to come out ready to roll and they take care of business. Also I always like Drew Brees coming off of a loss. This is an Alvin Kamara special where he gets over 100 yards rushing and 70 receiving with two touchdowns including the one that puts this game to bed late in the 4th. Saints win a good hard-fought game
Josh’s Pick: Saints 31-23
Chiefs (2-0) at Ravens (2-0), 8:15 p.m. (ESPN)
In a preview of what many think to be the AFC Championship Game, we get reigning NFL MVP Lamar Jackson vs Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes. What more can you ask for? Well, for me this was a toss-up but the determining factor is this: Defense! Baltimore has the better defense for sure after I saw Chargers rookie Justin Herbert light up the Chiefs for over 300 yards in a game he didn’t even know he was starting until right before. The Ravens on the other hand are a well-oiled machine that rolled over the Cleveland Browns and the Houston Texans. If this game were in January I would pick Kansas City especially considering Lamar’s struggles in the postseason but the calendar reads September and it’s time for the reigning champs to take that first L. Sorry Patty!!
Josh’s Pick: Ravens 34-28