The Quarterback position is the most difficult and demanding in all of sports. A truly good QB is a rare commodity and most only survive at the top for a short time. Often, it is all the rage to take each week’s performance and rank QBs with a staggering immediacy. That’s fine I guess, but I think it misses the full picture. Instead, I’ve put together a formula, which for now will remain proprietary, to sort QBs into tiers. The formula takes the previous two years and the current year-to-date. As a result, a QB remains in the ranking for 2 full years after retiring. I will present the 2020 QB Tiers and then the top 32 QB pairings (which excludes retirees and players on this week’s injury report). Here are the Week 1 Prinz QB Power Rankings:
Patrick Mahomes – Kansas City Chiefs
It’s lonely at the top for Pat. His efficiency is extraordinary, he’s fresh off a ‘chip, and he started the year out with a bang.
Drew Brees – New Orleans Saints
With only 13 turnovers the past two season, Brees has somehow stayed elite well into his later years.
Russell Wilson – Seattle Seahawks
Aaron Rodgers – Green Bay Packers
ARod and Brees are the only QBs with less than 20 turnovers total and 20 TDs each of the past 3 seasons. Russ on the other hand is 2nd in TDs and joined Mahomes as the only QB with 70+ after his 4-score game week 1.
Tom Brady – Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Think Tom is washed? Think again, his 61/30 ratio TDs/TOs has him standing alone in the 4th tier.
Matt Ryan – Atlanta Falcons
DeShaun Watson – Houston Texans
Dak Prescott – Dallas Cowboys
Lamar Jackson – Baltimore Ravens
Kirk Cousins – Minnesota Vikings
The “good” QBs are here in tier 5. Each of them has 60+ TDs except Lamar who didn’t do a whole lot in ’18 and yet is only 3 short. Also, note that the first 4 tiers featured Super Bowl champs and none of these guys have a title.
Ryan Tannehill – Tennessee Titans
Philip Rivers – Indianapolis Colts
We’ll call this the “regression watch” tier. Tanny impressed late last season with Tennessee but I’m not sold his Miami struggles are completely behind him. Rivers is trying a 2nd act with the Colts but the first week wasn’t promising.
Andrew Luck – Retired
Jared Goff – Los Angeles Rams
Mitch Trubisky – Chicago Bears
Matthew Stafford – Detroit Lions
Ben Roethlisberger – Pittsburgh Steelers
Carson Wentz – Philadelphia Eagles
Derek Carr – Las Vegas Raiders
Real mixed bag here. Luck still worthy of mention because his 2018 was very solid. Trubisky benefited from a strong 2nd half on Sunday but has a lot to prove. Big Ben is also riding a solid ’18 after losing all of last year to injury. Wentz, Carr, and Stafford have had both injuries and meh play to blame for their spot.
Baker Mayfield – Cleveland Browns
Josh Allen – Buffalo Bills
Andy Dalton – Dallas Cowboys (backup)
Cam Newton – New England Patriots
Ryan Fitzpatrick – Miami Dolphins
Jimmy Garoppolo – San Francisco 49ers
Kyler Murray – Arizona Cardinals
Gardner Minshew II – Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacoby Brissett – Indianapolis Colts (backup)
See how quickly we get to bad QBs? Murray and Minshew are 2nd-year guys so they’re at a disadvantage. In time I expect Murray, in particular, to rise in the ranks. Jimmy is virtually only a 2nd-year guy too and Cam hardly played last year, both of them have the potential to move up. Fitz, Dalton, and Allen all have nearly identical totals which doesn’t bode well for the Bills.
Jameis Winston – New Orleans Saints (backup)
Eli Manning – Retired
Sam Darnold – New York Jets
Teddy Bridgewater – Carolina Panthers
This tier wraps up the top 32 QBs. Eli didn’t do much his last two years in the league but it was better than the guys who haven’t been mentioned yet. Teddy has hardly played in what seems like forever and I’ve always rooted for him so I’m hoping he pushes his way up the list. Jameis at 29th has more TDs than the 15 above him until Goff, but he also is the only QB with 60+ turnovers.
Daniel Jones – New York Giants (34th)
Drew Lock – Denver Broncos (43rd)
Tyrod Taylor – Los Angeles Chargers (54th)
Joe Burrow – Cincinnati Bengals (65th)
Dwayne Haskins – Washington Football Team (70th)
The rest of the starters and their ranking. Burrow is certainly going to climb and quickly. Lock and Jones also seem capable of approaching the top 32.
Using the same metric, extracting retirees and players who appeared on this week’s injured list, here would be the “best possible” QB pairings after week 1:
|1||Patrick Mahomes||Marcus Mariota|
|2||Drew Brees||Taysom Hill|
|3||Russell Wilson||Jeff Driskel|
|4||Aaron Rodgers||Nick Mullens|
|5||Tom Brady||Mason Rudolph|
|6||Matt Ryan||Kyle Allen|
|7||DeShaun Watson||Drew Lock|
|8||Dak Prescott||Matt Moore|
|9||Lamar Jackson||Nick Foles|
|10||Kirk Cousins||Brandon Allen|
|11||Ryan Tannehill||Blaine Gabbert|
|12||Philip Rivers||Matt Schaub|
|13||Jared Goff||Nate Sudfeld|
|14||Mitchell Trubisky||Blake Bortles|
|15||Matthew Stafford||Chase Daniel|
|16||Ben Roethlisberger||Tyrod Taylor|
|17||Carson Wentz||David Blough|
|18||Derek Carr||AJ McCarron|
|19||Baker Mayfield||Brian Hoyer|
|20||Josh Allen||Josh Johnson|
|21||Andy Dalton||Mike Glennon|
|22||Cam Newton||David Fales|
|23||Ryan Fitzpatrick||Trevor Siemian|
|24||Jimmy Garoppolo||Chad Henne|
|25||Kyler Murray||Robert Griffin III|
|26||Gardner Minshew II||Joe Burrow|
|27||Jacoby Brissett||Ryan Lauletta|
|28||Jameis Winston||Josh Dobbs|
|29||Sam Darnold||Geno Smith|
|30||Teddy Bridgewater||Dwayne Haskins|
|31||Case Keenum||Matt Barkley|
|32||Daniel Jones||DeShone Kizer|
What do you think? Impeccable right? Come back after next week’s games to see who moves up and down and check out the rest of alleverythingentertainment.com for all your NFL needs.