Hello everyone this is Daniel Bakley and I bring you another week of UFC fight predictions. We have the UFC 253 card this week on September 26th. This is the first fight back at Fight Island and will be showcased with 2 title fights that will dictate the future of two weight classes.
Here are my predictions for this card:
Hakeem Dawodu vs Zubaira Tukhugov
With the fight here both fighters are coming in at a -115. However, Hakeem is coming in throwing quite a few more strikes in his career at 5.28 pm and landing 46.61% of those blows. The strikes for Zubaira are significantly lower with only 2.58 per minute and accuracy is sitting at 38.8%. Look for the better striking ability of Dawodu to make the difference. When you can strike better and start getting into a groove it’s easier to take bigger shots at your opponent and you don’t dig yourself into an early deficit. I have Hakeem winning this one in easy fashion.
Hakeem Dawodu wins by Unanimous Decision
Ketlen Vieira vs Sijara Eubanks
Eubanks steps in for injured Marion Reneau who had to pull out of the fight. Eubanks is great on the mat but Vieira is a whole different fight then she is used to fighting. More experienced, more tested, and has those top 10 fights already under her belt. Eubanks just signed a new UFC contract so she is looking to put on a great showing. The key to Eubanks’ game is her takedown defense and getting ahead of Vieira in the scorecard which I think she could be able to get. I am going with a big upset and I’m taking Sijara Eubanks by unanimous decision.
Sijara Eubanks wins by Unanimous Decision
Kai Kara-France vs Brandon Royval
Royval has the height and reach advantage on his side in this flyweight matchup. France is an unorthodox fighter where Royval favors the Southpaw stance. In this fight, Kara-France should be able to dominate. He is able to throw quite a few more strikes in the game, averaging 5.27 per minute with an accuracy of 38.46%. With the strikes from Royval sitting at 1.93 with an accuracy of 48.48%. Look for the lack of strikes to end up costing the fight for Royval. At one point I feel France will connect on a punch that will knock Royval down and France will go with the ground and pound and get a stoppage.
Kai Kara-France wins this fight by 2nd round TKO
Dominick Reyes vs Jan Błachowicz
Both of these fighters are capable on the ground but are more comfortable standing up, which is where this fight will likely wind up when you consider Reyes’ 82 percent takedown defense.
When it comes to striking, Reyes has several advantages. His devastating kicking ability and excellent movement allow him to maintain distance and avoid damage in inside exchanges. Fighting as a southpaw also makes Reyes tough to figure out and gives him plenty of angles to attack from, even against a fighter like Blachowicz who can switch stances. Blachowicz is a bruiser and has some nice wins under his bout but he hasn’t had the fight like Reyes has had with Jon Jones and I think his dry spell from 2015 to 2017 will give Reyes footage to study and gameplan with. I have Reyes ultimately taking this fight and being crowned the new Light Heavyweight Champion.
Dominick Reyes wins by 4th round KO
Israel Adesanya vs Paulo Costa
In this fight both fighters are coming off of impressive victories and bring to the table different fighting styles. Aden Santa is an unorthodox fighter who uses his flexibility and durability to hit guys with a different array of punches and kicks while Costa is a power guy who has heavy hands and surprisingly has a good chin but is questionable in the later rounds because of his tank. Adesanya has been reluctant to be motivated to fight in the past few fights deciding to just win fights by being lazy, but this time with the trash talk he’s been throwing out he is coming out to embarrass Costa and showcase his talent. I have Costa coming out strong in round 1 and parts of Round 2 but once he slows down, I got Adesanya finishing off a tired Costa with a 3rd round knockout Kick to retain his Middleweight Title.
Israel Adesanya wins Main Event by 3rd Round TKO.
I hope you enjoyed my predictions for this week and as always look for my next set of predictions which will be next week for UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana.
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