DeBord Room Week 6 NFL Picks!
Fresh off of a 9-5 week that could have been much worse. My record thus far this year has improved to 48-28-1 heading into Week 6! I’m happy with where I’m at as I was under 500 on my picks last year. We got huge games this week such as Kansas City at Buffalo, Tampa Bay at Green Bay, Chicago at Carolina, and Cleveland at Pittsburgh. My Patriots (fingers crossed) might get to play this week as well. I’m very excited heading into this week so let’s get it rolling.
Broncos (1-3) at Patriots (2-2), 1 p.m. (CBS)
This is a game the Patriots defense should dominate. Whether it’s Drew Lock, Brett Rypien, or Blake Bortles the Patriots should win this one running away. Reports are Drew Lock will return. The only thing a little concerning is the two-headed monster of RB’s Melvin Gordan/Phillip Lindsey (who might be back for the game). But other than that with no WR Courtland Sutton and missing tons of players on defense that Patriots will roll whether Cam Newton is back or not. N’ Keal Harry gets his first 100 yard receiving game of his young career as the Patriots put together their best played complete game of the season.
Josh’s Pick: Patriots 30-16
Chicago Bears (4-1) at Carolina Panthers (3-2) 1 p.m. FOX
To me, these are two of the more surprising teams in the league. You have the Bears who have already had to make a QB change and just beat Tampa Bay after starting the game looking like they were about to be blown out and then there’s the Panthers. They bring in Teddy Bridgewater who struggled early and lose star RB Christian McCaffrey week 1 and what have they done since then? Win 3 straight and find themselves thick in the NFC South race. Mike Davis has been running like a mad man since McCaffrey went out but I trust Chicago here as defense travels and I expect the Bears defense to give Teddy fits this week. Nick Foles will look good once again as the Bears go to 5-1 and keep pace with the Packers. Khalil Mack has 3 sacks and a forced fumble returned for a touchdown as the Bears handle the Panthers.
Josh’s Pick: Bears win 27-17
Cincinnati Bengals (1-3-1) at Indianapolis Colts (3-2) 1 p.m. ET FOX
I’ve just about given up on the Bengals. As much as I love Joe Mixon and Joe Burrow, the offensive line and defense of this team is just horrible. That’s great news for the incoming Colts who came out of their game last week against Cleveland feeling pretty rough. The Bengals defense is exactly what struggling QB Phillip Rivers needs as I see him having a bounce-back game. Star rookie RB Johnathon Taylor will top 100 yards as the Colts bounce back in a big way. Joe Burrow will throw for over 300 yards but it will be mostly because the Bengals will be playing from behind from the beginning. Colts win big and get back on track.
Josh’s Pick: Colts 31-16
Detroit Lions (1-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-4) 1 p.m. ET FOX
This is a game I have to pick because it’s on the schedule. I mean both of these teams are on the downward spiral. The Lions and Jaguars will both most likely have new coaches and QBs next year. The only time I even watch Detroit is on Thanksgiving because it’s the only thing on TV to watch besides Impractical Joker (which is a great show) reruns. I trust Matthew Stafford over Garnder Minshew and that’s why I’m taking Detroit. Honestly, I could care less about this game. No offense Lions and Jaguars fans, it’s nothing personal.
Josh’s Pick: Lions win 21-14
Atlanta Falcons (0-5) at Minnesota Vikings (1-4) 1 p.m. ET FOX
Two teams that are a lot more talented than their records show. It’s honestly surprising to see these teams have these records. After watching both teams play last Sunday I have to pick Minnesota here. The Vikings were very impressive in almost defeating Seattle last week. They lost Dalvin Cook who was on fire in the first half of that game and almost rode Alex Mattison (who is a beast in his own right). The Falcons just fired their coach, there are rumors about Matt Ryan’s future, and the team is about to start trading off players any day now. The Vikings get back on track and my buddy Dave Prinz can rest easy as his team gets an easy win. Mattison tops 100 yards again and the Vikings get back on track.
Josh’s Pick: Vikings 27-16
Washington Redskins (1-4) at New York Giants (0-5) 1 p.m. ET FOX
The fact that both these teams are in the thick of the NFC Least race is crazy. Based on how both of these teams have looked I’m going with the Giants here. Daniel Jones hasn’t been playing bad and had a solid game last week against Dallas. Davonta Freeman has looked better each week since signing with the team and Washington just can’t seem to keep its QBs from getting hit. QB Kyle Allen left last week with an arm injury and QB Alex Smith who came back from a horrible injury (MAJOR RESPECT TO THIS GUY) just got hit a ton last week. Washington and the Giants are both years away from being realistic contenders but I got the Giants here as they have been showing more signs of life and actually have a team that shows effort. Daniel Jones goes crazy and throws 3 touchdowns. Golden Tate tops 100 yards receiving for the first time in lord only knows how long.
Josh’s Pick: Giants 30-17
Baltimore Ravens (4-1) at Philadelphia Eagles (1-3-1) 1 p.m. ET CBS
I have to give props to the Eagles. They are banged up and they put up a hell of a fight every week. They put up one great effort last week against a much better Pittsburgh team. Unfortunately this week they go up against an equally talented Ravens team. I expect this to be a good game and I was very tempted to pick Philadelphia but it’s hard to pick against Baltimore especially with Lamar coming off back to back sub-par games. I expect him to break out of his funk and have a great game this week. He tops 100 yards on the ground and 200 in the air as the Eagles fail to contain him and a late rushing touchdown by Mark Ingram puts this game in the bag for the Ravens. The Ravens keep pace in the stacked AFC North with a hard-fought win.
Josh’s Pick: Ravens win 30-26
Cleveland Browns (4-1) at Pittsburgh Steelers (4-0) 1 p.m. ET CBS
This was the hardest game for me to pick. These damn division games. You got the Browns who are playing very well and relevant for the first time in what seems like 50 years. Then you got the Steelers who come in undefeated and look like they are primed to make a run at another Super Bowl. This to me is honestly a toss-up. I will have to go with the proven commodity here and that’s Big Ben and the Steelers. Star rookie WR Chase Claypool has busted onto the scene and added just another weapon for Ben in this already loaded Steeler offense. I think JuJu finally has a breakout game in a game I expect to be low scoring. JuJu gets 120 yards and scores one of the few touchdowns in this game. Baker coming in with a rib injury plays well just not well enough as the Steelers show they are still the class of the AFC North. Here we go Steelers here we go.
Josh’s Pick: Steelers 17-13
Houston Texans (1-4) at Tennessee Titans (4-0) 1 p.m. ET CBS
This is my upset pick of the week. Everyone knows how these division games go. This Texans team just feels like they are having fun again after the firing of Bill O Brien. I know JJ Watt is happy right? I think that energy makes it into a second straight week and they go into Tennessee and upset the Titans. I don’t think the Texans should be written off in the AFC South as you have the Colts struggling a bit and the Jaguars who are just there and aren’t a threat to anyone. I think a huge game from Watson with newly found weapon WR Brandon Cooks as Cooks tops 100 yards again and Will Fuller also finds the end zone again. Derrick Henry will top 100 yards and score a couple of touchdowns but it won’t be enough as a strip-sack by a newly rejuvenated JJ Watt put the game on ice late in the 4th. Texans get to 2-4 and continue to get back on track.
Josh’s Pick: Texans 28-24
NY Jets (0-4) at Miami Dolphins (2-3) 4 p.m ET CBS
The Jets and the Dolphins…. WOW. Well, you all know how I feel about the Jets. The high school I live by has a football team that’s better than them. I feel bad for the fans of both these teams mainly Jets fans. Like why? But, anyway I’ve already wasted enough time talking about this game. The Dolphins win because the Jets are the Jets.
Josh’s Pick: Dolphins 24-7
Green Bay Packers (4-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2) 4:25 p.m. ET FOX
I wonder if Tom Brady is ready to play again after the game against Chicago last Thursday night? I think so too, but the problem is they are playing a well oiled and rested machine in the Green Bay Packers. WR Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are banged up and TE Rob Gronkowski looks like a shell of his former self and that’s not a good sign going into this game where Aaron Rodgers has been playing arguably the best football of his career. With that being said this is going to be an Aaron Jones kind of game. With Vita the stud DT of Tampa now out for the season I expect Green Bay to attack the middle of that line. Jones will top 140 yards on the ground and score 2 touchdowns as Brady will keep it close but Green Bay scores late in the 4th to put it to bed. Packers move to 5-0.
Josh’s Pick: Packers 31-29
Los Angeles Rams (4-1) at San Francisco 49ers (2-3) 8:20 p.m. ET NBC
You have two teams headed in different directions. The 49ers had to bench QB Jimmy G last week and have so many injuries that they barely have enough healthy bodies to even field a team. Then you have the Rams who look great and DL Aaron Donald is playing out of his mind. Whoever is playing quarterback for the 49ers I expect to be under immense pressure the whole game. Jared Goff lights up the 49ers banged-up defense who the Dolphins just had their way with. The 49ers season is a lost cause at this point but maybe they can land a top QB in the draft and when all their returning stars return next year they can instantly be in the thick of things again. But, that’s next year this game will belong to the Rams as they win easily.
Josh’s Pick: Ram 27-10
Kansas City Chiefs (4-1) at Buffalo Bills (4-1) 5 PM ET CBS
This is the game of the week. This is the ultimate test to show if the Buffalo Bills are for real. You have the Chiefs who have struggled the last two weeks against the Bills who have been clicking on all cylinders. You all who follow me on AEE know how I feel about Buffalo and Josh Allen and as much as it breaks my heart they take the L here. Patrick Mahomes is due to breakout after struggling the last few weeks and the Buffalo Bills who got lit up by Ryan Shitzpatick aren’t going to be able to contain him. I don’t care how many “Bill’s Mafia” guys are jumping through tables they aren’t winning this one. Mahomes and Tyreek Hill will light up this defense and even though Josh Allen will keep it close most of the game, Mahomes and company will be too much in the end. Mahomes gets close to 400 yards passing as the Chiefs get the big win to show they are still the top team in the AFC.
Josh’s Pick: Chiefs 33-21
Arizona Cardinals (3-2) at Dallas Cowboys (2-3) 8:20 ESPN
Sad week for Cowboy fans as we saw last week QB Dak Prescott was lost for the season with an ankle injury. I wish nothing for the best for him and hope he’s back playing at a high level very soon. On top of that, the Cowboys and their defense that isn’t very good deals with the Arizona Cardinals who can put points on DeBord (get it) in a big way and quickly. This game has shootout written all over it. Andy Dalton is a very capable backup and will keep Dallas in this game but Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins are going to be too much to handle for 60 mins. Hopkins will top 150 yards and 2 touchdowns and I expect Murray to total over 300 yards of offense and be too much to handle. Dalton will top 300 yards and show he is capable to lead Dallas. It just won’t be enough in what will be a very entertaining Monday night game. Sorry, to my mom and dad (both Cowboy fans) but Arizona pulls this one out. The good news is they’ll still be in first place in the NFC Least even with this loss.
Josh’s Pick: Cardinals 34-30